Matt Wong

Chief Writer

27 November 2022

If you walked into 10 Victorians this morning, statistically, 3.7 voted Labor, 3.5 voted Liberal, 1.1 voted Green and 1.7 voted Other. On the street at least, it is most definitely not wall-to-wall #IStandWithDan Luvvies.

Daniel Andrews did however secure a strong win for the Labor Party in Victoria based on seats. The swing against Labor was commensurate with what any 3rd term government could expect. Which is quite a feat considering the corruption scandals and constant media haranguing across media (including by us).

The anti-Dan wave was a gentle tide that saw Greens and Victorian Socialists pick up a lot more support.

A small fraction of disaffected Labor conservatives ended up with the DLP and much of the Liberal Party’s conservative base losses went to Family First or freedom parties.

The Greens and Teals stole support from both Labor and Liberal and deserve congratulations on being consistent performers at elections, no matter what you think of their policies or principles.

The Nationals performed exceptionally well and looks like the Libs were a drag on the Nationals. Many conservative Liberal types will point to the Nats as evidence why a return to unabashed classical stances is the path to electoral victory.

Inside the Liberal Party however discussions must be centering around ‘buck the trend’ gains like James Newbury in Brighton which will inevitably drag the party left, to keep pace with what we must all admit now is Australian culture.

Yes it’s inner city, but the trend over multiple elections in multiple states and federally says that Australia is racing left (we can argue over the merits of that another time).

On a seat basis Labor retains a similar lower house make up. Massive chunks of support were sliced off Labor in its exceptionally safe seats in the North and West without actually flipping seats.

Victoria has spoken loudly that it is not particularly critical of Daniel Andrews’ handling of the pandemic, the health system crisis, the debt or corruption scandals.

The left wing of the Labor Party secured a solid victory, and should be congratulated. It retains and entrenches incredible levels of control in the public sector, in the social culture of Victoria, and in the Labor party itself.

Socialist Left faction Labor strategy appears to be a winning brand of politics in Victoria.

Now many already accuse the result of being unrepresentative when a primary vote in the 30s forms government, and the leader of that government makes such sweeping statements and Overton Window shifts to redefine a new centre. Yes it is unrepresentative, but it would also be the case if the Liberals won.

This is clearly Daniel’s party, Daniel’s state and Daniel’s story, even though of the 10 people you meet on the street, only 3.7 directly voted for him.

He is a masterful politician.

He is so skilled that he has many convinced he is a ‘uniter’, even as he spews invective at Victorians in his victory speech!

The very people he claims to give no thought to were high on his mind as he made scientific health claims ‘Vaccines work!’ and singled out anyone who was unvaccinated.

This makes no sense in a victory speech over his rivals the Liberals and Nationals who are statistically all vaccinated anyway (Victoria is about 90% double dosed over 18 with varying but high levels of triple dosed).

It is also eerily reminiscent of dark days, for those of us who have survived traumatic abuse at the hands of trusted authority figures. The feeling of being told we are ‘imagining things’ as we are beaten for our own good and told we are ‘loved’ is all too familiar.

It would have been much more productive to simply say ‘We may have gotten some things wrong, but our heart overall is to govern for all Victorians. No matter who you voted for, you matter to me and I will be a leader you can rely on no matter your choices in life’.

So whilst Daniel’s direct vote does not reflect the sweeping tone he employs in all of his statements, nor the shrieks by #IStandWithDan Luvvies on Twitter, Victorians quietly approve – or at least allow – Daniel’s vision for Victoria.

It seems the CFMEU may have nailed the tone: ‘Dan may be a prick’ but he’s our prick.

Now, we must take collective responsibility for what Victoria is, and will become, both good and bad.

Even if 4 out of 10 people on the street might hate what happened last night.